Compliant
The rule is met with reasonable margins.
CONSTITUTION · BUDGET · ACCOUNTABILITY
Organic Act for the HCFP: from public opinion to budget certification
The control becomes enforceable while remaining methodological, transparent and open to judicial review.
Document status : Citizen working prototype requiring expert review: these drafts are not opinions of the Conseil d’État, the Constitutional Council or any public institution.
What the HCFP does today
France’s fiscal council already assesses the realism of macroeconomic, revenue and expenditure forecasts and the consistency of fiscal trajectories. does not invent an expert body from scratch; it changes the legal effect of its work.
Three certification outcomes
Compliant with reservations
The rule is met but material assumptions require monitoring.
Non-compliant
The bill breaches the rule or relies on an indispensable assumption that is not reasonably supported.
Data and reproducibility
The strengthened council would receive defined data-access rights and publish assumptions, parameters and methods wherever protected secrets do not prevent disclosure.
Appeal
A negative certificate would suspend filing, not make experts sovereign. The Government could seek expedited constitutional review.
Independence
Staggered terms, conflict-of-interest declarations, published dissenting opinions and protection from individual instructions would be part of the Organic Act.
Working documents and data
Legal and institutional sources
French Constitution, Article 34
French fiscal council — official missions
Organic Budget Act, Article 61