PUBLIC FINANCE · MONETARY PASS ·
58 monetary references: the first pass through the graph
The Plan contains 58 lines from which a monetary reference can be machine-extracted. Adding them gives €156.736–229.789bn, but that sum is misleading: it mixes costs, revenue losses, public-enterprise effects, duplicates, incompatible scenarios and productivity gains that are still theoretical.
This step applies only mechanical corrections that are already demonstrable. It does not try to force the old €193bn / €316bn / €350bn figures to reappear. Its purpose is to determine which references are even allowed to approach a future total.
The main result is not a new total
The 58 raw references add up to €156.736–229.789bn. The pass separates €9.2bn of explicit costs or revenue losses and €6.300–8.660bn of public-enterprise or mixed effects that require a documented bridge before entering general-government accounts. The exact 8.04/6.12 procurement duplicate removes another €3–5bn from a naive sum.
Current policy also replaces the historical €5.5bn + €2bn R&D-tax-credit sub-estimates with one 2026 gross reference of €8.041bn. This is a mechanical +€541m change in the documentary pool, not a certified net saving. Motorway measures 7.08 and 7.09 are no longer added either: their naive €3.2–5.2bn sum becomes a €1.2–4bn scenario envelope.
The resulting mechanical pool: €136.777–206.270bn — still not a saving
Low bound arithmetic: 156.736 − 9.200 − 6.300 − 3.000 + 0.541 − 2.000 = 136.777. High bound arithmetic: 229.789 − 9.200 − 8.660 − 5.000 + 0.541 − 1.200 = 206.270. These are reference-pool calculations, not a fiscal-savings claim.
Almost the entire pool is still structurally gated
€136.561–206.054bn of the mechanical pool is still touched by an encoded monetary overlap, net package, alias transfer, scenario, no-autonomous-booking rule or current-policy microsimulation. Only €216m sits outside those main structural gates, and even that amount is not certified because behavioural, transition or fixed-cost evidence is still missing.
Three large references are transferred, not erased
Measures 5.05, 9.06 and 9.07 contain €45.180–71.350bn of historical references. The graph transfers them to canonical owners 3.10, 6.09 and 2.09 rather than allowing the same effect to exist under two IDs. They still require evidence of an actually removed cost, collectable revenue or genuinely unfilled post.
mapping correction for universal social protection
introduced the universal social-protection doctrine but its machine-readable mapping mistakenly attached it to several 8.x/11.x IDs that now refer to food policy and social benefits. The doctrine is unchanged. The mapping is corrected: 6.02 carries employer-contribution reform and a new cross-cutting node POLICY-USP-001 carries the universal core.
The old €193bn / €316bn / €350bn bounds remain deliberately unreconstructed
Comparing the €136.777–206.270bn mechanical pool directly with the old targets would be methodologically wrong because the perimeter, timing and net/gross definitions are not yet aligned. The next stage resolves the large overlap clusters, calculates net packages and certifies lines one by one before any honest reconstruction of the old trajectories.
All 58 monetary references
The “mechanical pool” column only says whether a reference survives this step's mechanical filters. A number shown there is never a budget certification.
| ID | Measure | Historical reference | treatment | Mechanical pool | Baseline source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Reduce the National Assembly from 577 to 125 members, at least one per department €432–467m per year | €432–467m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €432–467m | Assemblée nationale — budget 2026 |
| 1.02 | Reduce the Senate from 348 to 125 senators €232–250m per year | €232–250m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €232–250m | Sénat — comptes et budget |
| 1.03 | Reduce the government to nine full ministries and abolish delegated ministers €90–180m per year | €90–180m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €90–180m | Légifrance — décret n°2025-978 |
| 1.04 | Mandatory parliamentary attendance with automatic financial penalties €150m per year | €150m | Line-by-line evidence required no encoded declared overlap | €150m | Assemblée nationale — règlement |
| 1.05 | Halve parliamentary staff allowances €85m per year | €85m | Line-by-line evidence required 2 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | €85m | Assemblée nationale — budget 2026 |
| 1.06 | Abolish the 1,758 regional councillor seats €350m per year | €350m | Line-by-line evidence required 2 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €350m | DGCL — élus locaux 2025 |
| 1.07 | Reduce departmental councillors by 50 percent €180m per year | €180m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €180m | DGCL — élus locaux 2025 |
| 1.08 | Limit ministerial cabinets to ten members €120m per year | €120m | Line-by-line evidence required 2 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €120m | Légifrance — décret n°2025-978 |
| 1.09 | Strict ban on holding multiple local executive mandates €200m per year | €200m | No autonomous booking 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €200m | Légifrance — loi organique n°2014-125 |
| 1.10 | Cap combined allowances at 150 percent of the main mandate €80m per year | €80m | Line-by-line evidence required 5 declared overlap(s), including 5 direct monetary overlap(s) | €80m | DGCL — indemnité de fonction |
| 1.11 | Reduce municipal councillors by about 30 percent €250m per year | €250m | Line-by-line evidence required 2 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €250m | DGCL — élus locaux 2025 |
| 1.12 | Abolish the national Economic, Social and Environmental Council €36m per year | €36m | Line-by-line evidence required no encoded declared overlap | €36m | Sénat — CESE, crédits 2026 |
| 1.13 | Abolish the 13 regional economic, social and environmental councils €75m per year | €75m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €75m | Légifrance — CGCT, CESER |
| 1.15 | Cap public remuneration at six times the gross minimum wage €320m per year | €320m | Current package requires microsimulation 4 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €320m | Service-Public — SMIC au 1er juin 2026 |
| 1.16 | End lifetime close protection for former presidents €5m per year | €5m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €5m | Assemblée nationale — question écrite n°17117 |
| 1.17 | Reduce the presidential budget and ensure full transparency €30m per year | €30m | Line-by-line evidence required no encoded declared overlap | €30m | Assemblée nationale — PLF 2026, Présidence |
| 1.18 | End subsidies for parliamentary restaurants and bars €12m per year | €12m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €12m | Sénat — comptes 2025 |
| 1.19 | Remove benefits in kind not justified by security €180m per year | €180m | Current package requires microsimulation 3 declared overlap(s), including 3 direct monetary overlap(s) | €180m | Assemblée nationale — question n°17117 anciens présidents |
| 1.20 | Harmonise and cap senior civil-service allowance schemes €450m per year | €450m | Current package requires microsimulation 3 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €450m | Fonction publique — RIFSEEP |
| 2.04 | Five-year interministerial legislative clean-up mission €8–12bn per year | €8.000–12.000bn | Line-by-line evidence required 13 declared overlap(s), including 4 direct monetary overlap(s) | €8.000–12.000bn | Légifrance — circulaire n° 6443-SG du 29 avril 2024 relative à la codification des textes législatifs et réglementaires |
| 2.07 | Fully digitise the administration over five years €10–15bn per year | €10.000–15.000bn | Line-by-line evidence required 19 declared overlap(s), including 10 direct monetary overlap(s) | €10.000–15.000bn | DGAFP — IA et transformation |
| 3.05 | Category B: merge 35 operator clusters €2.3–4.1bn per year | €2.300–4.100bn | Line-by-line evidence required 6 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €2.300–4.100bn | Sénat — expérience des fusions 2015-2019 |
| 3.11 | Category D: abolish regional agriculture directorates (net amount) €60–120m per year | €60–120m | Line-by-line evidence required 6 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €60–120m | Sénat — rapport n°807 sur l’administration territoriale et les agences |
| 3.13 | Category D: abolish 316 marginal consultative committees €120–240m per year | €120–240m | Line-by-line evidence required 4 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | €120–240m | Sénat — coût et nombre des organismes consultatifs |
| 3.14 | Category D: abolish the audiovisual council and regulatory overlaps €85m per year | €85m | No autonomous booking 4 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €85m | Arcom — fusion CSA/Hadopi au 1er janvier 2022 |
| 3.15 | Break up France Télévisions and privatise by asset €2.6bn per year | €2.600bn | Public-enterprise effect — bridge required 3 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Légifrance — loi de finances pour 2026 |
| 3.16 | Deep rationalisation of Radio France by 30–45 percent €200–300m per year | €200–300m | Public-enterprise effect — bridge required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Légifrance — loi de finances pour 2026 |
| 3.17 | Abolish all public support to the press €320m per year | €320m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €320m | Sénat — aides à la presse 2026 et dépenses fiscales |
| 4.02 | Deploy artificial intelligence across 164 judicial courts €1.2bn per year — productivity | €1.200bn | Line-by-line evidence required 15 declared overlap(s), including 5 direct monetary overlap(s) | €1.200bn | Observatoire des territoires — 164 tribunaux judiciaires |
| 4.03 | Automated pre-processing of simple cases €800m per year — productivity | €800m | Line-by-line evidence required 9 declared overlap(s), including 4 direct monetary overlap(s) | €800m | CEPEJ — usages possibles de l’IA judiciaire |
| 4.04 | AI-assisted case-law research €150m per year — productivity | €150m | Line-by-line evidence required 8 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | €150m | CEPEJ — usages IA pour les professionnels de justice |
| 4.06 | Remove simple tax disputes from full judicial proceedings €2–4bn per year — productivity | €2.000–4.000bn | Line-by-line evidence required 4 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | €2.000–4.000bn | BOFiP — contentieux fiscal devant le tribunal administratif |
| 5.01 | Reduce hospital administrative staffing and increase care staff €3.5bn per year — direct budget saving, level C | €3.500bn | Line-by-line evidence required 11 declared overlap(s), including 5 direct monetary overlap(s) | €3.500bn | DREES — effectifs hospitaliers 2004-2024 |
| 5.02 | AI-assisted end-of-shift voice report €2.8bn per year — productivity, level C | €2.800bn | Line-by-line evidence required 11 declared overlap(s), including 4 direct monetary overlap(s) | €2.800bn | HAS — technologies numériques et IA à usage professionnel |
| 5.03 | Recovery of excessive extra fees €1.2bn per year — new/recovered revenue, level C | €1.200bn | Line-by-line evidence required 4 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €1.200bn | Assurance Maladie — honoraires et dépassements 2016-2024 |
| 5.05 | Reintegrate regional health agencies into the ministry (net amount) €180m–€350m per year — direct budget saving, level C | €180–350m | Transferred to canonical owner 7 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | €180–350m owned by 3.10 | Sénat — PLF 2026, ARS : subvention et emplois |
| 6.06 | Abolish the research tax credit for large companies €5.5bn per year — revenue, level B | €5.500bn | Replaced by 2026 R&D-credit reference 5 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Sénat — PLF 2026 Recherche, coût du CIR |
| 6.07 | Reform the research tax credit for SMEs and mid-caps €2bn per year — revenue, level C | €2.000bn | Absorbed into current R&D-credit package 5 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Sénat — PLF 2026 Recherche, CIR et CII |
| 6.12 | Cap profit margins on public procurement at 30 percent €3bn–€5bn per year — direct budget saving, level C | €3.000–5.000bn | Net package required no encoded declared overlap | €3.000–5.000bn | DAJ — données essentielles de la commande publique |
| 7.01 | Renegotiate the universal nuclear payment, post-ARENH mechanism €3–5bn per year — public-enterprise gain, C | €3.000–5.000bn | Public-enterprise effect — bridge required 6 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | CRE — estimation des revenus nucléaires EDF |
| 7.07 | Immediate 20-cent-per-litre cut in fuel taxes Source cost: €6bn per year — household gain, A | €6.000bn | Cost / revenue loss isolated 3 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Ministère — cours, prix, marges et consommation pétrolière |
| 7.08 | Return motorways to public control when concessions expire €2–4bn per year — revenue, B | €2.000–4.000bn | Replaced by scenario envelope no encoded declared overlap | — | ART — échéance 2031-2036 des concessions historiques |
| 7.09 | Tax excess profits of motorway concession companies €1.2bn per year — revenue, B | €1.200bn | Replaced by scenario envelope no encoded declared overlap | — | Légifrance — champ de la taxe, seuils 120 M€ / 10 % |
| 8.04 | Cap margins on public procurement contracts €3–5bn per year — direct budget saving, C | €3.000–5.000bn | Exact duplicate excluded 1 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Direction des affaires juridiques — données essentielles de la commande publique |
| 8.07 | Remove aid to large companies without employment commitments Source category range: €30–50bn per year — direct budget saving, C | €30.000–50.000bn | Line-by-line evidence required 5 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | €30.000–50.000bn | Sénat — rapport n°808, aides publiques aux entreprises |
| 9.05 | Train 5.85 million public employees, including 2.58 million State civil servants, over five years €3.2bn per year cost — investment, B | €3.200bn | Cost / revenue loss isolated 8 declared overlap(s), including 5 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Insee — L’emploi dans la fonction publique en 2024 |
| 9.06 | Deployment at the General Directorate of Public Finances €15–25bn per year — new/recovered revenue, C | €15.000–25.000bn | Transferred to canonical owner 5 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | €15.000–25.000bn owned by 6.09 | Ministère de l’Économie — bilan du contrôle fiscal 2025 |
| 9.07 | Automation of 521,000 administrative positions through natural attrition €30–46bn per year — productivity gain, C | €30.000–46.000bn | Transferred to canonical owner 22 declared overlap(s), including 11 direct monetary overlap(s) | €30.000–46.000bn owned by 2.09 | Insee — L’emploi dans la fonction publique en 2024 |
| 11.01 | Cap on cash social benefits 5 à 8 milliards d’euros par an (index source) — section détaillée : 650 M€ à 1,3 Md€/an avant compensation en nature | €5.000–8.000bn | Net package required 3 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | €5.000–8.000bn | DREES — Minima sociaux et prestations de solidarité, édition 2025 |
| 11.04 | Conditional social rights for non-EU nationals Chiffrage détaillé en fiche — historique 6 à 8 Md€/an dans la section détaillée | €6.000–8.000bn | Net package required 1 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €6.000–8.000bn | Légifrance — CASF, article L.262-4 : conditions de séjour pour le RSA |
| 11.06 | Reform of public funding for trade unions 1,2 milliard d’euros par an | €1.200bn | Net package required 1 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €1.200bn | Légifrance — Code du travail, article R.2135-27 : fonds paritaire |
| 11.07 | Abolition of the trade-union tax credit for individuals 144 millions d’euros par an | €144m | Net package required 1 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €144m | Légifrance — CGI, article 199 quater C : crédit d’impôt syndical |
| 11.08 | Reduction of union release time across the three civil services 800 millions d’euros par an | €800m | Net package required 3 declared overlap(s), including 3 direct monetary overlap(s) | €800m | Légifrance — Code du travail, article R.2135-27 : fonds paritaire |
| 12.02 | Gradual convergence of parameters over ten years 400 à 800 millions d’euros par an | €400–800m | Line-by-line evidence required 1 declared overlap(s), including 0 direct monetary overlap(s) | €400–800m | Sénat — PLF 2026, mission Régimes sociaux et de retraite |
| 12.05 | Volume cap on the energy-sector employee tariff 250 à 350 millions d’euros par an | €250–350m | Public-enterprise effect — bridge required 3 declared overlap(s), including 3 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Légifrance / CRE — TURPE HTB 2026 : charges du tarif agent et incitation sur les volumes |
| 12.06 | Exclusion of secondary homes from the preferential tariff 40 à 70 millions d’euros par an | €40–70m | Public-enterprise effect — bridge required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Légifrance / CRE — ATRT8 : tarif agent des salariés et retraités IEG |
| 12.07 | Restoration of standard subscription charges and taxes 60 à 90 millions d’euros par an | €60–90m | Public-enterprise effect — bridge required 1 declared overlap(s), including 1 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Légifrance / CRE — TURPE HTB 2026 : charges du tarif agent et incitation sur les volumes |
| 12.08 | Ten-year convergence for retirees and beneficiaries 150 à 250 millions d’euros par an | €150–250m | Public-enterprise effect — bridge required 2 declared overlap(s), including 2 direct monetary overlap(s) | — | Légifrance / CRE — ATRT8 : tarif agent des salariés et retraités IEG |
Next gate
The next pass will resolve the largest overlap clusters — administration/AI, justice, health, business aid, senior public pay and social benefits — then turn surviving references into net annual amounts with timing. Only lines with an evidenced removed cost or collectable revenue, transition treatment, owner and confidence level will be allowed into the multi-year simulator.
— Budgetability filter
The second pass now keeps €54.950–81.950bn of productivity gains outside the future budget total until a real cost disappears, and isolates the major business-aid, tax-control-revenue and social-support envelopes before any addition.