False positive
Unusual behaviour is not necessarily fraud.
delta-sierra.com
David Salvan | Books, Public Policy and Mars Colonization
The French tax administration already uses data-based targeting. The Plan proposes expanding it, while an algorithmic flag must remain an alert rather than automatic proof of fraud.
The French tax administration already uses data-based targeting. The Plan proposes expanding it, while an algorithmic flag must remain an alert rather than automatic proof of fraud.
Tax control involves more than 10,000 staff; the ministry reported €17.1 billion in tax rights and penalties notified in 2025. A June 2026 Act strengthened anti-fraud powers.
Unusual behaviour is not necessarily fraud.
Taxpayers need enough information to challenge evidence.
Tax databases are sensitive targets.
Notified amounts are not always collected.
| Indicator | Before | After | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scope and population | Baseline | Annual value | Prevent perimeter changes |
| Budget effect | Estimate | Cash collected or spent | Separate promise from execution |
| Transition cost | Disclosed | Multi-year tracking | Calculate net effect |
| Appeals and errors | Initial rate | Corrected rate | Protect rights |