PUBLIC FINANCE · EVIDENCE · V20.11.7

First audit of 32 residual references: 8 lines quarantined

V20.11.6 isolated a residual pool of €16.586–21.279bn across 32 references. This step still does not manufacture a total: it asks whether the source attached to each number actually proves the relevant financial baseline.

Eight lines historically representing €6.494–8.894bn fail that immediate evidence test. They are not declared false; they are placed in accounting quarantine, with an additive booking of €0 until the bridge from policy proposal to demonstrable budget flow is established.

Audit of residual financial references
A historical value remains visible without automatically becoming a saving.

Why accounting quarantine?

A source can prove that a legal mechanism exists without proving the saving attached to it. A legal text on union financing, for example, establishes how a fund works; by itself it does not establish a €1.2bn saving. Likewise, a minimum-wage page can define a proposed pay cap but does not identify the number of affected officials or their removable full cost.

The rule is therefore simple: no verified baseline, no additive amount. The historical figure remains visible for traceability, but it cannot finance deficit reduction, debt reduction or tax cuts.

Eight lines removed from the provisional pool

MeasureHistorical referenceV20.11.7 additive bookingReasonCurrent source
6.12
Cap profit margins on public procurement at 30 percent
€3–5bn0 €The DAJ source documents public-procurement data infrastructure, not €3–5bn of savings. The amount must be rebuilt by purchasing family from comparable prices, admissible costs and contracts that can actually be renegotiated.DAJ — données essentielles de la commande publique ↗
11.06
Reform of public funding for trade unions
€1.2–1.2bn0 €Labour law establishes the joint fund mechanism and a minimum allocation for some activities; it does not demonstrate a €1.2bn annual saving pool. Public and para-public funding must be aggregated without double counting.Légifrance — Code du travail, article R.2135-27 : fonds paritaire ↗
11.07
Abolition of the trade-union tax credit for individuals
€144–144m0 €The tax provision establishes the union tax credit, but the €144m reference must be tied to a current-year official tax-expenditure figure before booking.Légifrance — CGI, article 199 quater C : crédit d’impôt syndical ↗
11.08
Reduction of union release time across the three civil services
€800–800m0 €The attached source describes the joint fund, not the cost of union release time across the three public-service branches. Actual released time must be converted into full employer cost.Légifrance — Code du travail, article R.2135-27 : fonds paritaire ↗
12.02
Gradual convergence of parameters over ten years
€400–800m0 €The budget mission provides a useful special-scheme perimeter, but the proposed convergence must be split scheme by scheme and year by year, including benefit, contribution and accrued-right effects.Sénat — PLF 2026, mission Régimes sociaux et de retraite ↗
1.15
Cap public remuneration at six times the gross minimum wage
€320–320m0 €The source sets the minimum wage but provides neither the number of public employees above the proposed cap nor their full remuneration. Without a statistical baseline, €320m remains historical only.Service-Public — SMIC au 1er juin 2026 ↗
1.19
Remove benefits in kind not justified by security
€180–180m0 €A parliamentary question about selected benefits is not a consolidated inventory of senior-public-service benefits in kind. A comprehensive baseline and actually removable costs are required.Assemblée nationale — question n°17117 anciens présidents ↗
1.20
Harmonise and cap senior civil-service allowance schemes
€450–450m0 €RIFSEEP documentation explains the allowance system; it does not demonstrate €450m of net savings from a cap. Allowance distributions by corps, employer and pay level must be modelled first.Fonction publique — RIFSEEP ↗

What changes

The 32-reference sub-pool mechanically falls from €16.586–21.279bn to €10.092–12.385bn, spread across 24 references. This new amount is itself uncertified: it is only the next set to audit.

The certified global total therefore deliberately remains €0. This prevents the old €193bn / €316bn / €350bn trajectories from becoming targets that the model is forced to reproduce.

Next step

Audit the remaining 24 residual references, then separately rebuild the net R&D tax-credit effect, motorways, business support, tax control, the social package and productivity gains actually converted into removed costs.

Back to the budgetability filter →